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June 14, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

Talking Points: June FOMC Cheatsheet Read more

June 9, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

Focus on the dot plot. At next week’s FOMC meeting, attention will be focused on the dot plot – specifically, the outlook for rates in 2H 2017. The Fed has worked assiduously to ensure it intentions for this meeting are well understood by the market... Read more

June 2, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

Normally, I’m an advocate of digging into the details and the subtleties. That’s still worthwhile with the mixed bag that is the May jobs report, but there’s actually a pretty clear message shining through, at least from the perspective of financial... Read more

May 5, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

The April jobs report showed a tight U.S. labor market reasserting some of the dominant themes from the last few years. While it was encouraging to see the obvious bounce back from the lopsidedly weak March report, the details underlined a few... Read more

April 7, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

“Disappointing but not terrible” is how one commentator described the March jobs report, but the weaker parts of this report were actually reassuring and some of the stronger parts were alarming. Read more

March 10, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

There was strength pretty much everywhere you looked in the February jobs report, from the payroll headline to the details of dwindling slack in the household survey. Most notably, wages rose (and prior months were revised up), pushing their growth... Read more

February 15, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

Fed Chair Janet Yellen gave financial markets a nudge during her testimony before Congress over the last two days. With the U.S. economy more or less at full employment, the Fed is preparing to follow through with further rate hikes, which are... Read more

February 3, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

The January jobs report gives the Federal Reserve a touch of breathing room as it plans its pace of rate hikes for this year. This was another month when the headline numbers were overshadowed by what typically are secondary indicators. Read more

January 6, 2017 | Author: Josh Wright, Chief Economist

You can forget about the mild disappointment in the headline. The details of the December jobs report were highly encouraging, suggesting the labor market is at last behaving more like it did in the pre-crisis era. There were various signs of... Read more
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